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Health risk assessment of PM2.5 heavy metals in county units of northern China based on Monte Carlo simulation and APCS-MLR
Wenju Wang; Chun Chen; Dan Liu; Mingshi Wang; Qiao Han; Xuechun Zhang; Xixi Feng; Ang Sun; Pan Mao; Qinqing Xiong; Chunhui Zhang
2022
发表期刊Science of The Total Environment
卷号843页码:156777
摘要

The key areas of China's urbanization process have gradually shifted from urban areas to county-level units. Correspondingly, air pollution in county towns may be heavier than in urban areas, which has led to a lack of understanding of the pollution situation in such areas. In view of this, 236 PM2.5 filter samples were collected in Pingyao, north of the Fen-Wei Plain, one of the most polluted areas in China. Monte Carlo simulation was used to solve the serious uncertainties of traditional HRA, and the coupling technology of absolute principal component score-multiple linear regression (APCS-MLR) and health risk assessment (HRA) is used to quantitatively analyze the health risks of pollution sources. The results showed that PM2.5 concentration was highest in autumn, 3.73 times the 24 h guideline recommended by the World Health Organization (WHO). Children were more susceptible to heavy metals in the county-level unit, with high hazard quotient (HQ) values of Pb being the dominant factor leading to an increased non-carcinogenic risk. A significant carcinogenic risk was observed for all groups in autumn in Pingyao, with exposure to Ni in the outdoor environment being the main cause. Vehicle emissions and coal combustion were identified as two major sources of health threats. In short, China's county-level population, about one-tenth of the world's population, faces far more health risks than expected.

 

关键词Pm2.5 Heavy Metals Probabilistic Health Risk Apcs-mlr County-level Population
DOI10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.156777
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收录类别SCI
语种英语
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被引频次:29[WOS]   [WOS记录]     [WOS相关记录]
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://ir.gyig.ac.cn/handle/42920512-1/13521
专题环境地球化学国家重点实验室
作者单位1.College of Resource and Environment, Henan Polytechnic University, Jiaozuo 454003, China
2.Henan Key Laboratory for Environmental Monitoring Technology, Zhengzhou 450004, China
3.Institute of Geochemistry, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Guiyang 550081, China
4.University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, China
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Wenju Wang,Chun Chen,Dan Liu,et al. Health risk assessment of PM2.5 heavy metals in county units of northern China based on Monte Carlo simulation and APCS-MLR[J]. Science of The Total Environment,2022,843:156777.
APA Wenju Wang.,Chun Chen.,Dan Liu.,Mingshi Wang.,Qiao Han.,...&Chunhui Zhang.(2022).Health risk assessment of PM2.5 heavy metals in county units of northern China based on Monte Carlo simulation and APCS-MLR.Science of The Total Environment,843,156777.
MLA Wenju Wang,et al."Health risk assessment of PM2.5 heavy metals in county units of northern China based on Monte Carlo simulation and APCS-MLR".Science of The Total Environment 843(2022):156777.
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